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ANBAR JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES

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Economic forecasting in wheat acreage in Iraq by using ARIMA model for period (2007-2015).

    Faiq J. Yasseen

ANBAR JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES, 2011, Volume 9, Issue 2, Pages 27-40

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Abstract

The most important objective of quantitative economic studies is to predict in economic variables values in order to plan for production and import policies in Iraq . Many techniques could be used to predict economic variables . In this study ARIMA model was used This model is a mixture of autoregressive technique and moving average for time series data in order to predict in wheat supply for Iraq . This model is also characterized by high accuracy in analyzing time series data . Time series data for wheat acreage was used for the period (1961-2007) . The suitable model was identified and it was ARIMA (2,1,0) model . This model predicted the wheat acreage until 2015 , and it satisfied all statistical and predictive power tests.
Keywords:
    Forecasting Iraq ARIMA period
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(2011). Economic forecasting in wheat acreage in Iraq by using ARIMA model for period (2007-2015).. ANBAR JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES, 9(2), 27-40.
Faiq J. Yasseen. "Economic forecasting in wheat acreage in Iraq by using ARIMA model for period (2007-2015).". ANBAR JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES, 9, 2, 2011, 27-40.
(2011). 'Economic forecasting in wheat acreage in Iraq by using ARIMA model for period (2007-2015).', ANBAR JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES, 9(2), pp. 27-40.
Economic forecasting in wheat acreage in Iraq by using ARIMA model for period (2007-2015).. ANBAR JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES, 2011; 9(2): 27-40.
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